2004 Charts of the Week
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- Your True Love Will Need to Be More Generous This Year
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted December 17, 2004
- Each year since 1984, PNC Advisors has provided an analysis of what it would cost to purchase all of the goods and services in the "Twelve Days of Christmas" classic holiday song.
- How Will the Year End?
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted December 10, 2004
- As the uncertainties in 2004 fade and holiday merrymaking gets underway, investors are gaining some optimism from the stock market.
- The 10-Year Treasury Note
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted December 3, 2004
- The 10–year Treasury note appears to be ending a recent five month trend of yielding lower.
- U.S. Trade Balance
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted November 26, 2004
- The U.S. trade balance, the difference between how much a country exports and how much it imports, has been growing since the early 1990s. Factors like increasing energy prices and the weakening dollar may have significant impacts on the current trade deficit.
- The Weakened US Dollar
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted November 19, 2004
- The U.S. dollar has been weakening versus major world currencies since early 2002. This depreciation in the strength of the dollar is often viewed negatively; however the weakness can be a strong contributor to the growth of our economy as reported by the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
- Fed Funds Target Rate and Inflation
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted November 12, 2004
- Since July, the Federal Reserve has raised the fed funds rate by a total of 1%, a result of four one–quarter point increases.
- Bonds vs. Stocks
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted November 5, 2004
- A sluggish third quarter for equity markets didn’t carry over into the bond market.
- Growth vs. Value
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted October 29, 2004
- During 2004, large value stocks have outperformed their large growth counterparts. Prior to 2002, during the raging bull and crippling bear markets, large growth and value stocks diverged greatly in performance by almost forty percent. This large difference between growth and value performance is historically uncommon.
- Small Continues to Outperform Large
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted October 22, 2004
- Riskier smaller company stocks, those with market capitalizations of $1 billion and under, have exceeded the returns of their larger counterparts over the past one year period.
- Third Quarter S&P 500 Sector Performance
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted October 15, 2004
- Energy led the third quarter 2004 performance of the S&P 500 sectors.
- Major Indexes Third Quarter Performance
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted October 8, 2004
- Historically, markets have seen positive returns in the fourth quarter, however analysts are hesitant to get their hopes up with record breaking oil prices and other economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
- U.S. Trade Balance With China
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted October 1, 2004
- The U.S. has a negative trade balance with China and it has been growing. During the period from 1997 to 2003, imports from China have grown 244% while exports to China have grown 221% indicating that the trade balance is widening.
- Mutual Fund Assets
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted September 24, 2004
- Mutual fund assets continue to grow as indicated by the most recent Investment Company Institute’s (ICI) survey of the mutual fund industry.
- Monetary Policy
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted September 17, 2004
- Monetary policy refers to actions taken by the Federal Reserve, the nation’s central bank, to influence the amount of money available in the U.S. economy. As can be seen from the chart above, as the Fed continued to decrease the discount rate over the past several years, the money supply has continued to grow. Now that the Fed has started increasing the rates, the growth rate of money supply should theoretically start to slow.
- Maybe It Isn’t As Bad As It Seems
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted September 10, 2004
- Investors have been bombarded with conflicting reports about the state of the economy in recent weeks.
- Gold Rush!
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted September 3, 2004
- The limited supply and universal acceptance of gold makes it an attractive investment worldwide when economic or geopolitical uncertainty exists.
- The Future of Oil Prices
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted August 26, 2004
- Crude oil prices hit record high levels last week reaching almost $50 a barrel but have not surpassed the inflation-adjusted oil prices seen in the early 1980s.
- Equity Markets So Far in 2004
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted August 20, 2004
- The high price of oil, tepid job growth and rising interest rates may be causing turmoil for many investors. The year to date returns shown in the chart above indicate that the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Indexes reached 2004 lows over the past two weeks.
- Personal Consumption Expenditures
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted August 13, 2004
- In addition to the news of increased oil prices, heightened terrorism alerts, and unusually low hiring, personal consumption was reported at a low not seen since 1986 (adjusting for September 11th). Some analysts were caught off guard by this report and are mixed about whether this is an anomaly or an indication of a slowdown in growth.
- Small Caps Slipping?
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted August 6, 2004
- Small cap stocks fell dramatically in July with their worst decline since September 2002. The Russell 2000 Index of small stocks, shown in the chart above, fell 6.8%.
- Employment & Benefits Costs
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted July 30, 2004
- The wage component of the Employment Cost Index (ECI) grew only 0.6% for the quarter— the slowest wage growth on record. The costs of benefits in the same period increased at almost twice that rate, 7.2%— the fastest growth rate since 1990.
- 10-Year US Treasury Yield
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted July 23, 2004
- The interest rate environment in the second quarter of 2004 was largely impacted by investor anticipation of the June 30 Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. However, market rates remained within their trading range (indicated by the green dashed lines), since they had already moved prior to the Fed action
- Second Quarter Capital Market Returns
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted July 16, 2004
- Capital markets ended the second quarter 2004 with little change over the period.
- Only Time Will Tell....
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted July 9, 2004
- Domestic equity markets were slightly volatile throughout the quarter, but they still experienced slight positive returns.
- As Expected...
- MarketView Chart of the Week, posted July 2, 2004
- As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised the target overnight interest rate 0.25% to 1.25% this week. This rate represents the rate that banks use to lend money to each other. This week, the FOMC also raised this rate by 0.25% to 2.25%.
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